The threat for war between the U.S. and China is “real and acute,” Hindustan Times is reporting. They’re one of the few who dare to put it in print. They admit “no one knows what Xi Jinping or his successors will decide to do.” Even so, “the factors and evidence pointing toward the possibility of China attacking Taiwan are very concerning.” Armageddon is brewing like a pot of strong coffee.
War with China on the way
War with China is ready to break out any moment. It’s looking pretty clear that Joe Biden isn’t backing away from forcing Democracy on Taiwan and Xi Jinping is just as stubborn about “reunification” by force. We could end up arguing over a smoldering pile of rubble, on the way toward mutual nuclear self-destruction.
China sees the use of military force against Taiwan as a chance to “markedly strengthen” their “military advantages in the region.” Meanwhile, America needs Taiwan’s microchips.
When Beijing decides to make a move on Taiwan the war will be decisive. “Russia’s experience in Ukraine shows that Beijing’s best strategy is to use overwhelming, direct force to compel Taiwan to surrender. As Napoleon put it: If you want to take Vienna, take Vienna.”
Over in Eurasia, they realize “unfortunately, this is not mere speculation. Rather, China is visibly building and exercising a military to do just this, and to take on the U.S. and its allies as part and parcel of doing so.”
“Beijing has reason to think its opportunity to act may be time-limited.” That’s because they “can see that there is a coalition forming to check its overweening ambitions.” Waiting, the Pooh Bear understands, “will result in it being contained.”
U.S. wake up call
As China ramps up to put in motion the plan they’ve been working for the last quarter-century, “The U.S., on the other hand, did not wake up to the China threat until recently, its necessary shift toward Asia has been uneven and halting, and its defense investments will take until the 2030s to really pay off.”
Not only that, we’re too “woke” to be effective in a shooting war. That gives China incentive to move sooner, rather than later. “If China waits too long, it may face far more capable US and allied military by the 2030s, meaning it has a potent incentive to move before any such window closes.”
India is starting to get nervous. “Such a war — and especially an American defeat — would have the most direct and grave implications for India.” If there is a big fight over Taiwan, it will quickly “stretch far beyond the island.” China already knows Joe will jump in and “come to Taiwan’s aid.”
That means, “if Beijing leaves US forces alone, they will be able to come to the island’s assistance unhindered. Beijing is unlikely to do that, since it would lead to failure. Instead, Beijing is visibly preparing to strike the US and quite possibly Japanese and Australian forces early, across the region and beyond. Therefore, a Taiwan war could very well be a regional war. And a regional war means Indian interests are far more likely to be impinged upon.” The regional battles won’t take long to become global.
If we get our assets kicked in Taiwan, “that would be the most perilous for India’s interests. The reverberations of a Chinese defeat of the US in a large war in Asia would be enormous. A weakened US would likely be pushed back to the defense of Japan, the Pacific islands, and Australia.” Indian would get thrown to the wolves.
“An ascendant China would presumably secure control of the South China Sea as many countries in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) and elsewhere in Asia would move to accommodate Beijing, enabling its military to project power and its deeper economic control of the region.“